Game Result Predictions
Saturday, September 29
Saturday, September 29
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Scheumann Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Kent State (2-10) | 24 | 25 | +8.0 | 24% | ✔ | 23 | +12.0 | 16% | ✔ | |
| Ball State (4-8) | 52 | 33 | -8.0 | 76% | 35 | -12.0 | 84% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| UB Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Army (11-2) | 42 | 29 | -4.0 | 64% | ✔ | 38 | -22.5 | 96% | ✔ | |
| Buffalo (10-4) | 13 | 25 | +4.0 | 36% | 16 | +22.5 | 4% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Rynearson Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Northern Illinois (8-6) | 26 | 13 | +10.0 | 20% | ✘ | 19 | -2.5 | 60% | ✔ | |
| Eastern Michigan (7-6) | 23 | 23 | -10.0 | 80% | 17 | +2.5 | 40% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Bulldog Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Toledo (7-6) | 27 | 23 | +15.0 | 11% | ✔ | 14 | +31.5 | 1% | ✔ | |
| Fresno State (12-2) | 49 | 38 | -15.0 | 89% | 46 | -31.5 | 99% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Bobby Dodd Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Bowling Green (3-9) | 17 | 22 | +24.0 | 4% | ✔ | 17 | +34.5 | 1% | ✔ | |
| Georgia Tech (7-6) | 63 | 46 | -24.0 | 96% | 51 | -34.5 | 99% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Yager Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Western Michigan (7-6) | 40 | 27 | +10.0 | 20% | ✘ | 27 | +10.5 | 19% | ✘ | |
| Miami (OH) (6-6) | 39 | 37 | -10.0 | 80% | 37 | -10.5 | 81% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Spartan Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Central Michigan (1-11) | 20 | 0 | +21.0 | 5% | ✔ | 0 | +59.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Michigan State (7-6) | 31 | 21 | -21.0 | 95% | 60 | -59.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Peden Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| UMass (4-8) | 42 | 27 | +28.0 | 2% | ✔ | 28 | +26.5 | 2% | ✔ | |
| Ohio (9-4) | 58 | 55 | -28.0 | 98% | 54 | -26.5 | 98% | |||
Saturday, September 29 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 75%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 88%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 75%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 88%
Overall Results (872 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.